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It's 1979 All Over Again

With only a few minor adjustments to account for dates and sports utility vehicles, this NY Times article on recent car buying trends could have been written thirty years ago. Start with the headline:

As Gas Costs Soar, Buyers Flock to Small Cars
I have childhood memories of such headlines. Change the price-a-gallon and replace "sport utility vehicles" with "gas-guzzling boat-sized sedans" and the following paragraph would have been relevant back then, too:
The switch to smaller, more fuel-efficient vehicles has been building in recent years, but has accelerated recently with the advent of $3.50-a-gallon gas. At the same time, sales of pickup trucks and large sport utility vehicles have dropped sharply.
Finally, here is where history repeats itself in perhaps the most moronic way:
The trend toward smaller and lighter vehicles with better mileage is a blow to Detroit automakers, which offer fewer such models than Asian carmakers like Toyota and Honda.
Yet as a testament to how the entire auto industry, regardless of country of origin (which means little in a globalized production line), is completely behind the times, consider the gas mileage of the fuel-efficient vehicles the Times lists in a sidebar:



The city mileage does not even reach 30 M.P.G.! We should be getting 100 M.P.G. now. We should have taken care of this thirty years ago. But no-o-o-o-o. We got frightened by the Iranian Revolution and elected an ex-B movie actor who stroked our precious imperialist egos ("It's okay, my fellow Americans, we're still a great big superpower"), and, once in office, undid the energy policies of the Carter Admin that would have saved us time, money, war, lives, and at least a part of the global warming crisis we face. Thanks, Reagan Democrats! I hope you guys learn your lesson this time!

But, like Detroit, you probably won't.
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Comments

Posted by: kodi ([info]cdk)
Posted at: May 2nd, 2008 04:03 pm (UTC)

The lightest Yaris weighs 2295 pounds. What makes you certain that a 2295 car can get 100 MPG?

Posted by: mooreroom ([info]nevikmoore)
Posted at: May 2nd, 2008 05:13 pm (UTC)

Really I am working under the assumption that had we - or really, the engineers employed by the auto industry, as well as independent researchers supported by the U.S. government - started in earnest to develop fuel efficient cars 30 years ago, we would be much farther along. And even if my faith is blind and misplaced, it is not unreasonable to assume that fuel efficiency standards could be much, much higher than they have been for the last 30 years since the first crisis. It really gets my goat that we keep failing to learn lessons from the past, whether it's in energy consumption or in getting bogged down in unnecessary wars.

Posted by: It's a brand-new dance/We're bringin' it back ([info]ms_xeno)
Posted at: May 2nd, 2008 05:39 pm (UTC)

Yeah, and-- and-- AL GORE WROTE A BOOK !!

I'm sure your intention is not to let Democrats of the last thirty-odd years dine out on whatever cred they got from Carter's solar panels, but I run into plenty who do, believe me. >:

Posted by: mooreroom ([info]nevikmoore)
Posted at: May 2nd, 2008 06:02 pm (UTC)
globalwarming

Phhttt, no, hardly. The Clinton Admin deserves some credit for working with the auto industry to produce 80mpg sedans, but that went largely nowhere, and then in 2002 the Bush Admin killed it in favor of its own hydrogen-cell venture. Basically moving the goal posts. And the auto industry felt little incentive to be aggressive about it when SUVs were popular and fuel prices were lower.

Posted by: Alain ([info]ndgmtlcd)
Posted at: May 2nd, 2008 07:09 pm (UTC)

A bit more than 30 years ago several US organisations worked out the principles behind a transportation system that would have given cities and towns lightweight, individual electric vehicles running on flexible ubiquitous guideways. It would have given the equivalent of much more than 100 mpg in performance and the energy would have come from any electric source: Windmills, dams, etc.

The problem with any electric car is the batteries. The solution that was found then was to run those individuals cars on guideways, which would main source of electricity. The wikipedia article on this is rather good, by the way, but it omits many options like that of having the PRT cars owned by individuals or groups instead of the system.

Many prototypes of several competing technologies were built. All were abandoned before the basic tech/economic problems could be ironed out.

Detroit was opposed to PRT systems becasue Detroit is opposed to any change, of any sort, but also because there was still a lot of costly development work to be done.

To be fair, a lot of mass transit advocates also opposed PRT systems (and still oppose them) since they did not fit into their preconceived notions of public infrastructure and transport.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Personal_rapid_transit

Posted by: Jake Squid ([info]jakesquid)
Posted at: May 2nd, 2008 10:06 pm (UTC)
What is wrong with the NYT?

There are cars that get more'n 30mpg city. And in any case, there are very few cars that run only city. For example, my 2004 Honda Civic was getting 43 mpg when I was running freeway almost exclusively. Now that I run mostly city, it only gets 32 mpg. That's still above 30.

Or they could've mentioned the Prius which gets 60 mpg city.

Not that anything anybody else has written in these comments is wrong. We could've had mpg at least approaching 100 if we hadn't decided not to work on it.

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